Risk Disclaimer

Last updated: April 17, 2026

What WeatherRadar AI is

WeatherRadar AI provides analytical signals — fair-value (FV) estimates, edge indicators, historical backtests, and related statistics — for weather-based prediction markets operated by third parties such as Kalshi and Polymarket. We are a software tool. We do not custody funds, we do not place trades on your behalf unless you explicitly connect your own broker account and configure our executor, and we do not recommend specific trades.

What WeatherRadar AI is not

• We are not a registered investment adviser under the U.S. Investment Advisers Act of 1940 or any state securities law.
• We are not a broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, or swap execution facility.
• We are not a fiduciary and owe you no duty of best execution.
• Our outputs are not personalized financial advice. They do not take your income, net worth, goals, risk tolerance, or tax situation into account.

Risk of total loss

Prediction market contracts (event contracts, binary options, yes/no shares) can and do expire worthless. If a contract resolves against you, your entire position is lost. Leverage, ladder strategies, and auto-execution can amplify loss. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose in full.

Past performance ≠ future results

Backtests, win rates, Sharpe ratios, drawdown charts, and any other historical metric shown on the site are just that — historical. Weather models, market microstructure, counterparty behavior, and regulation all change. Tomorrow's trades may look nothing like yesterday's. Out-of-sample performance is frequently worse than in-sample.

You decide

Whether or not to open, size, hold, or close any position is entirely your decision. WeatherRadar AI will show you a signal; you choose what to do with it. Our executor, when you opt in, operates on rules you configure. You remain responsible for every order placed in your broker account, including orders placed by any automated tool you enable.

No guarantees

We do not guarantee that any signal, forecast, edge estimate, or price is accurate, timely, or fit for any particular purpose. Data feeds can lag, break, or be wrong. Weather models can be systematically biased. Markets can stop reflecting fundamentals entirely. Nothing on this site constitutes a promise that you will make money or avoid losses.

Regulatory notice

Prediction market products may not be legal in every U.S. state or country. It is your responsibility to confirm that trading on Kalshi, Polymarket, or any other venue is permitted where you live, and to comply with tax reporting rules. We do not provide tax, legal, or compliance advice.

Contact

Questions about this disclaimer: [email protected].